Simul stabunt, simul cadent: The US, the EU and the liberal international order in the Trump era


Abstract


The election of Donald Trump as the 45th President of the United States was perceived by many observers as a threat to the international liberal order. This paper sets out to contribute to the debate by focusing on the role of a specific component of this order: the relationship between the United States and the European Union. The question addressed is whether the potential transformations experienced by the element of the transatlantic relationship due to the Trump effect’ are liable to have a substantial and distinctive impact on the wider order. Using the lenses of the security community approach, we point out variance and convergences in interests, interaction, institution and identities of the two partners, and to what extent the advent of Trump has actually – or is likely to – impinge on each of these categories, and how this affects the foundations of the international liberal order.


DOI Code: 10.1285/i20398573v4n1p75

Keywords: Liberal Order; Donald Trump; Transatlantic relations; Security Communities; European Union.

References


Abdelal, R, Herrera, YM, Johnston, AI & Mc Dermott, R (eds) 2009, Measuring Identity. A guide for social scientists, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

Adelman, J 2016, ‘Donald Trump is Declaring Bankruptcy on the Post-War World Order’, Foreign Policy, 20 November, viewed 30 April 2018, .

Adler, E & Barnett, M 1998, Security Communities, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

Ahmed, N 2017, ‘Donald Trump is not the problem – he’s the symptom’, Open De-mocracy, 20 January, viewed 10 April 2018, .

Ahmed, S & Bick, A 2017, ‘Trump’s National Security Strategy: A New Brand of Mercantilism?’, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 17 August, viewed 22 April 2018 .

Berger, D, Bindenagel, JD, Fücks, R, Heumann, S 2017, ‘In Spite of it all, America. A Transatlantic Manifesto in Times of Donald Trump – A German Perspective’, German Marshall Fund Paper n. 34, 2017.

Binnendijk, H 2018, ‘Between continuity and erosion: three scenarios for the future of transatlantic relations’, College of Europe Policy Brief 7.18, viewed 11 July 2018, .

Boin, A, Sundelius, B, Stern, E, and ‘t Hart, P 2005, The politics of crisis management. Public Leadership under pressure, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

Brattberg, E & Kimmage, M 2018, ‘Trump and the (Liberal) International Order’, 26 February, viewed 30 March 2018, .

Bretherton, C & Vogler, J 2006, The European Union as a Global Actor, Routledge, London; New York.

Burgoon, B, Oliver, T & Tubowitz, P 2017 ‘Globalization, domestic politics, and transatlantic relations’, International Politics, vol. 54, no. 4, pp. 420–433.

Clementi, M Haglund, D & Locatelli, A 2017, ‘Making America Grate Again: The “Italianization” of American Politics and the Future of Transatlantic Rela-tions in the Era of Donald J. Trump’, Political Science Quarterly, vol. 132, no. 3, pp. 495-525.

Cohen, E 2018, ‘Trump’s Lucky Year’, Foreign Affairs, 18 January 2018, viewed 11 July 2018, .

Colgan, JD & Keohane, RO 2017, ‘The Liberal Order Is Rigged. Fix It Now or Watch It Wither’, Foreign Affairs, 17 April 2017, viewed 11 July 2018, .

Cornish, P & Edwards, G 2001, ‘Beyond the EU/NATO dichotomy: the beginning of a European strategic culture’, International affairs, vol. 77, no. 3, pp. 587–603.

Cowles, MG & Egan, M 2016, ‘The Historical evolution of the Transatlantic Part-nership’, in R Alcaro, J Peterson & E Greco (eds), The West and the Global Power Shift, Palgrave Macmillan, London, pp. 75-97.

Damro, C 2016, ‘Competitive Interdependence: Transatlantic Relations and Global Economic Governance’, in R Alcaro, J Peterson & E Greco (eds), The West and the Global Power Shift, Palgrave Macmillan, London, pp. 179–196.

De Luce, D, Gramer, R and Tamkin, E 2018, ‘Trump’s Shadow Hangs Over NATO’, Foreign Policy, 29 January, viewed 18 May 2018, .

Deutsch, KW et al. 1957, Political Community and the Nord Atlantic Area, Princeton University Press, Princeton.

Eckhardt, J & Elsig, M 2016, ‘Support for international trade law: The US and the EU compared’, International Journal of Constitutional Law, vol. 13, no. 4, pp. 966–986.

Erikkson, A 2016, ‘EU-US trade talks have failed, says Germany’s Gabriel’, Eu-robserver, 29 August, viewed 26 April 2018 .

Fichera, M & Hänninen, S 2014, Polity and Crisis Reflections on the European Odyssey, Routledge, London.

Golino, L 2018, ‘A Storm is Brewing in Transatlantic Relations’, Atlantic Council, 15 March, viewed 27 April 2018, .

Græger, N 2016, ‘European security as practice: EU–NATO communities of prac-tice in the making?’, European Security, vol. 25, no. 4, pp. 478–501.

Guiraudon, V, Ruzza, C, Trenz, HJ (eds) 2015, Europe’s Prolonged Crisis. The Making or the Unmaking of a Political Union, Palgrave, New York.

Ikenberry, GJ 2000, After Victory. Institutions, Strategic Restraint, and the Rebuilding of Order after Major Wars, Princeton University Press, Princeton.

Ikenberry, GJ 2012, Liberal Leviathan. The Origins, Crisis, and Transformation of the American World Order, Princeton University Press, Princeton.

Ikenberry, GJ 2018, ‘Why the Liberal Order will survive’, Ethics & International Af-fairs, vol. 32, no.1, pp. 17–29.

Jachtenfuchs, M, Diez, T, Jung, S 1998, ‘Which Europe? Conflicting Models of a Legitimate European Political Order’, European Journal of International Rela-tions, vol. 4, no. 4, pp. 409–445.

Jones, E 2004, ‘Debating the transatlantic relationship: rhetoric and reality’, International Affairs, vol. 80, no. 4, pp. 595-612.

Jørgensen, KE 2006, ‘Intersecting Multilateralisms: The European Union and Multilateral Institutions’, in K Laatikainen & KE Smith (eds) The European Union at the United Nations, Palgrave, London/New York, pp. 195-211.

Jurecic, Q & Wittes, B 2018, ‘Is America on the Verge of a Constitutional Crisis?, The Atlantic, 17 March, viewed 05 May 2018, .

Keohane, D 2018, ‘EU Military Cooperation and National Defense’, German Mar-shall Fund Policy Brief n. 4, viewed 20 April 2018, .

Keohane, RO & Nye, JSJ 1977, Power and interdependence, Little, Brown, Boston.

Keohane, RO 1989, International Institutions and State Power: Essays in International Relations Theory, Westview Press, Michigan.

Keukeleire, S & Delreux, T 2014, The Foreign Policy of the European Union, Palgrave Macmillan, London.

Korteweg, R 2017, Unfreezing TTIP: Why a Transatlantic Trade Pact still makes strategic sense, Center for European reform, viewed 11 July 2018, .

Kratochwil, F 1989, Rules, Norms and Decisions: On the Conditions of Practical and Legal Reasoning in International Relations and Domestic Affairs, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.

Lamy, P 2002, ‘Stepping Stones or Stumbling Blocks? The EU’s Approach Towards the Problem of Multilateralism vs Regionalism in Trade Policy’, The World Economy, vol. 25, no. 10, pp. 1399–1413.

Lehne, S & Grabbe, H 2017, ‘How Donald Trump could save EU foreign policy’, Carnegie Europe, 12 January, viewed 10 June 2018, .

Lucarelli, S & Manners, I (eds) 2006, Values and Principles in European Foreign Policy, Routledge, London.

Manners, I 2002, ‘Normative Power Europe: A Contradiction in Terms?’, Journal of Common Market Studies, vol. 40, no. 2, pp. 235–58.

March, JG & Olsen, JP 1989, Rediscovering institutions. The organizational basics of politics, The Free Press, New York; London.

Mead, WR 2017, ‘The Jacksonian Revolt: American Populism and the Liberal Or-der’, Foreign Affairs, vol. 96, no. 1, pp. 2–7.

Nephew, R 2018, ‘Trump’s Middle Ground on Iran Deal Sanctions Waivers Is a Myth’, Foreign Policy, 26 April, viewed 12 May 2018, .

Niblett, R 2017, ‘Liberalism in Retreat: The Demise of a Dream’, Foreign Affairs, vol. 96, no. 01, pp. 14–24.

Nye, J 2017, ‘Will the liberal order Survive? The History of an Idea’, Foreign Affairs, vol. 96, no. 01, pp. 10–14.

Pawlak, P 2010, ‘Transatlantic homeland security cooperation: the promise of new modes of governance in global affairs’, Journal of Transatlantic Studies, vol. 08, no. 02, pp. 139–157.

Peterson, J 2016, ‘All Roads Don’t Lead to Brussels (But Most Do): European Integration and Transatlantic Relations’, in R Alcaro, J Peterson & E Greco (eds), The West and the Global Power Shift, Palgrave Macmillan, London, pp. 101-125.

Peterson, J 2018, ‘Present at the Destruction? The Liberal Order in the Trump Era’, The International Spectator, vol. 53, no. 01, pp. 28–44.

Peterson, J, Alcaro, R & Tocci, N 2016, ‘Multipolarity, Multilateralism and Leadership: The Retreat of the West?’, in R Alcaro, J Peterson & E Greco (eds), The West and the Global Power Shift, Palgrave Macmillan, London, pp. 43-73.

Pifer, S 2017, ‘Is Trump undoing trans-Atlantic relations?’, Brookings, 31 May, viewed 28 May 2018, .

Price, N 2017, ‘Trump’s Nuclear Crisis Was of His Own Making’, Foreign Policy, 23 August, viewed 5 May 2018, .

Rachman, G 2016, ‘Donald Trump Shakes Postwar Liberal Order’, Financial Times, 9 November, viewed 11 July 2018, .

Ravenhill, J 2013, The study of IPE, in J Ravenhill (ed), Global Political Economy, Ox-ford University Press, Oxford.

Risse, T 2016, ‘The Transatlantic Security Community: Erosion from Within?’, in R Alcaro, J Peterson & E Greco (eds), The West and the Global Power Shift, Palgrave Macmillan, London, pp. 21-42.

Rojecki, A 2016, ‘Trumpism and the American Politics of Insecurity’, The Washington Quarterly, vol 39, no. 04, pp. 65–81.

Ruggie, JR 1992, 'Multilateralism: the anatomy of an institution', International Organization, vol. 46, no. 03, pp. 561–98.

Sauerbrey, A 2018, ‘Is the Trans-Atlantic Relationship Dead?’, The New York Times, 3 January, viewed 11 July 2018, .

Sawhill, I 2016, ‘Donald Trump’s election: Was it economics or culture?’, Brookings, 6 December, viewed 11 July 2018, .

Sbragia, AM 2005, ‘Seeing the European Union through American eyes: the EU as a reflection of the American experience’, European Political Science, vol. 04, no. 02, pp. 179–87.

Schmieg, E 2015, ‘TTIP – Opportunities and Risks for Developing Countries’, SWP-Zeitschriftenschau 1e, viewed 11 July 2018, .

Schulster E & Karnitschnig, M 2017, ‘On transatlantic trade, Trump is all bluster, no bite - so far’, Politico Europe, 15 November, viewed 28 May 2018, .

Scotto Di Santolo, A 2018, ‘Brilliant Donald Trump Remark on the European Un-ion Leaves Farage in Stitches’, Express, 30 April, viewed 26 May2018, .

Shake, K 2017, ‘Will Washington abandon the order? The false logic of retreat’, Foreign Affairs, vol. 96, no. 01, pp. 4146–.

Simòn, L 2013, The Geopolitical Change, Grand Strategy and European Security. The EU–NATO Conundrum in Perspective, Palgrave Macmillan, London.

Sjursen, H 2004, ‘On the identity of NATO’, International Affairs, vol. 80, no. 04, pp. 687–703.

Sloan, S 2018, Transatlantic traumas. Has illiberalism brought the West to the brink of col-lapse?, Manchester University Press, Manchester.

Smith, H & Youngs, R 2018, ‘The EU and the Global Order: Contingent Liberal-ism’, The International Spectator, vol. 53, no. 01, pp. 45–56.

Smith, J & Yalowitz, K 2017, ‘Trump and the Impending Foreign-Policy Crisis’, The National Interest, date, viewed 28 May 2018, .

Speck, U 2016, ‘The crisis of Liberal Order’, The American Interest, 12 September, viewed 11 July 2018, < https://www.the-american-interest.com/2016/09/12/the-crisis-of-liberal-order/>.

Steward, P & Forman, S (eds) 2002, Multilateralism and U.S. Foreign Policy: Ambivalent Engagement, Lynne Rienner, Boulder.

Stokes, B 2018, ‘Thought Leader Survey: Issues Impacting the Transatlantic Rela-tionship 2018’, Pew Research Center, 9 March, viewed 11 May 2018, .

Szabo, F. 2017, ‘The Trump Era or Interregnum? The Changing View of Europe in the United States’, Henric Böll Stiftung, 21 November, viewed 12 May 2018, .

Tamkin, E 2017, ‘For a Russia-Friendly Town, Eastern Europeans Love Trump’s Washington’, Foreign Policy, 24 May, viewed 11 May 2018, .

Valasek, T 2017, ‘Macron, the Atlanticist’, Carnegie Europe, 5 October, viewed 11 July 2018, .

Walt, M 2017, ‘Trump isn’t sure if Democracy is Better than Autocracy’, Foreign Policy, 13 November, viewed 12 May 2018, .

Wickett, X 2018, ‘Transatlantic Relations: Converging or Diverging?’, Chatham House, 18 January, viewed 11 July 2018, < https://www.chathamhouse.org/publication/transatlantic-relations-converging-or-diverging>.

Wright, T 2016, ‘Trump’s 19th Century Foreign Policy’, Politico, 20 January, viewed 20 April 2018, .


Full Text: pdf

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribuzione - Non commerciale - Non opere derivate 3.0 Italia License.