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A new hybrid approach for forecasting of daily stock market time series data


 
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1. Title Title of document A new hybrid approach for forecasting of daily stock market time series data
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Ahmad M. Awajan; Al-Hussein Bin Talal University; Jordan
 
3. Subject Discipline(s)
 
3. Subject Keyword(s) EMD, Forecasting, Nonstationary time series
 
4. Description Abstract In recent years, many researchers have focused on forecasting financial time series data, especially stock market data. Stock market data possesses so many features that forecasting may be very challenging. In the present study, a hybrid of two methodologies is proposed, which is the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) and the Random Walk (RW) in order to enhance the stock market forecasting performance, denoted by (EMD-RW). The advantage of EMD-RW is its ability to forecast nonlinear and nonstationary stock market data without the need to use some transformation method or differencing a time series technique. Moreover, the new proposed EMD-RW produced high-accuracy results. Ten stock market time series for ten different countries are used in this study to demonstrate the forecasting accuracy of the EMD-RW. Results using four forecasting accuracy functions display that EMD-RW forecasting accuracy is better than the four compared methods.
 
5. Publisher Organizing agency, location Coordinamento SIBA - Università del Salento
 
6. Contributor Sponsor(s)
 
7. Date (YYYY-MM-DD) 2024-03-15
 
8. Type Status & genre Peer-reviewed Article
 
8. Type Type
 
9. Format File format pdf
 
10. Identifier Uniform Resource Identifier http://siba-ese.unisalento.it/index.php/ejasa/article/view/27483
 
10. Identifier Digital Object Identifier 10.1285/i20705948v17n1p162
 
11. Source Publication/conference title; vol., no. (year) Electronic Journal of Applied Statistical Analysis; Vol 17, No 1 (2024): Electronic Journal of Applied Statistical Analysis (Special Issue: Big Data in Economics' Applications)
 
12. Language English=en en
 
13. Relation Supp. Files
 
14. Coverage Geo-spatial location, chronological period, research sample (gender, age, etc.)
 
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